Niccolo Baroni vs Daniil Bogatov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Baroni secures 41.77% of second serve points recently, while Bogatov manages 45.35%. Does second serve effectiveness predict match outcomes? Often, yes.
• Who has the edge in return games? Baroni leads slightly with 54.55% of opponent’s second serve points won compared to Bogatov's 53.01%.
• Both struggle with first serve returns, with Baroni at 24.76% and Bogatov narrowly better at 24.87%.
• Under pressure, Baroni excels, saving 55.56% of breakpoints, while Bogatov saves 45.07%.
• Yearly match wins show Baroni with a 60% win rate; Bogatov follows at 52.94%.
• Hard courts favor both players, with Baroni winning 62% and Bogatov 58% of these matches.
• Both players frequently compete in lower-tier tournaments, winning similar percentages.
• Which player faces tougher opponents? Bogatov, with opponents averaging a rank of 89.06 compared to Baroni's 207.93.
• In deciding sets, Bogatov prevails 54% of the time, slightly more than Baroni’s 50% success rate.
• Baroni is notably better at converting breakpoint opportunities, achieving a 46.15% conversion rate against Bogatov's 24.24%.

Editorial Prediction (July 16, 2025, UTC):

When examining recent performance trends, Bogatov shows superiority in winning points on his second serve. His edge, albeit slight, could be influential in key moments against Baroni.

However, Baroni's ability to win a higher percentage of his opponent's second serve points and his superior breakpoint conversion rate grant him a tactical advantage. These factors often determine the outcome of closely contested matches.

In high-pressure situations, Baroni's strong track record in saving breakpoints further advantages him over Bogatov. Although Bogatov performs better when matches extend to deciding sets, this might not be enough given other factors.

Given these considerations, Baroni's proficiency in crucial aspects of play suggests he is more likely to secure victory in the upcoming match.